More complex peace agreements with a greater number of provisions correspond with a greater probability of failed implementation and of armed conflict recurrence.
civil war
In high-risk countries, an increase in weapons imports can significantly increase the likelihood that armed conflict will break out.
U.S. troops now hold a direct role in the Saudi-led campaign in Yemen, diverging from previous statements from the Pentagon and Trump administration claiming U.S. support was limited to arms sales, aircraft refueling, logistics, and intelligence.
High levels of mineral reserves are a contributing factor in the 20+ year violent conflict in the Congo. Peace Science shows the link between natural resources and conflict, and how government income from natural resources can lead to more deadly, longer lasting, conflict.
Civil resistance— in particular, the creation of peace territories— can be used to resist not only authoritarian regimes but also violence itself.
Sanctions research and policy focus on states, giving little attention to challenges of targeting non-state armed actors, making sanctions less effective.
When groups are included in political participation they are more likely to choose nonviolence over violence when voicing their grievances.
Individuals are more likely to choose nonviolent methods in response to the unacceptable consequences of violence done by their government.
Peace agreements mediated with credibility leverage last over twice as long compared to agreements without credibility leverage.
A country ranked at the bottom 10% on a global poverty scale is six times more likely to see violent civil conflict than a country at the top 10%.