Analyses
Technology-based programs, as simple as text message reporting, have been proven to aid in conflict monitoring and prevention.
The likelihood of terrorism increases when a country’s ethnic communities have close family ties in other countries (diaspora communities).
Peacekeepers with the ability to enforce peace agreements are better able to build norms of trust and cooperation compared to the absence of peacekeepers.
An increase in manufacturing increases the likelihood of nonviolent campaigns. As countries continue to modernize, social conflict manifests nonviolently.
National and local peace initiatives are mutually influential. The success of one increases the chances of success in the other.
Peace agreements mediated with credibility leverage last over twice as long compared to agreements without credibility leverage.
Moderate sanctions lower the chance of war, but weak/overly destructive sanctions do the opposite. Strategic sanctions can lead to diplomatic negotiations.
Repressing religious freedoms is twice as likely to cause terrorism than a country’s high poverty rate or population size.
Countries are more likely to experience the onset of nonviolent campaigns when there is a greater amount of mobilization globally.
Using sunk costs to justify an ongoing war does not work—the U.S. public doesn’t support the ‘Don’t Let Them Die in Vain’ argument.